Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -150 DSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -6.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -5.2 (+4.8) | 140.3 (-0.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -5.4 (+4.6) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -5.1 (+4.9) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -5.4 (+4.6) | 139.8 (+0.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#287) | -13.0 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#241) | -1.93 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#265) | -2.74 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#206) | 0.412 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 61.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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