Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -155 DSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -3.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -3.6 (-8.6) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -2.6 (-7.6) | 134.0 (+11.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -4.4 (-9.4) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -3.1 (-8.1) | 134.4 (+10.6) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
| Feb 20, 2024 | DSU 80 – 58 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#353) | -19.3 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#331) | -3.37 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#345) | -4.39 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#325) | 0.377 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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