Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DSU -200 MORG +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +22 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -8.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -5.0 (+17.0) | 143.2 (-5.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -5.1 (+16.9) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -4.8 (+17.2) | 142.6 (-4.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -4.9 (+17.1) | 142.9 (-4.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#306) | -13.1 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#306) | -1.78 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#289) | -2.16 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#317) | 0.431 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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