Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | DSU -250 MORG +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -7.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -4.4 (-2.4) | 155.4 (+10.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -5.5 (-3.5) | 155.3 (+10.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -5.0 (-3.0) | 155.0 (+11.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -5.7 (-3.7) | 154.9 (+11.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | DSU 80 – 58 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#296) | -12.7 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#280) | -2.07 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#304) | -2.61 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#292) | 0.373 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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