Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Memorial Hall (DE) · January 17, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread DSU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money DSU -162 / MORG +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total DSU win
Actual MORG +1 159 Lost
Massey DSU -5.7 (-6.7)
Massey Totals 139.0 (+20.0)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 78%
Efficiency Plus ML DSU -3.7 (-4.7) 130.4 (+28.6) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML DSU -3.1 (-4.1) 129.7 (+29.3) 65%
Baseline ML DSU -2.8 (-3.8) 130.5 (+28.5) 60%
Baseline Plus ML DSU -2.3 (-3.3) 130.0 (+29.0) 56%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 DSU 7570 MORG
Feb 21, 2026 MORG 8268 DSU
Mar 4, 2025 MORG 8781 DSU
Feb 4, 2025 DSU 8482 MORG
Feb 20, 2024 DSU 8058 MORG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DSU MORG
Overall 8-23 14-16
Conference 2-12 10-4
Home 5-7 9-6
Away 2-14 5-9
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 59.7 71.7
Avg Pts Against 71.4 80.1
Massey -17.4 (#357) -19.7 (#361)
Bradley-Terry -2.98 (#352) -3.37 (#356)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.64 (#349) -4.28 (#355)
RPI 0.373 (#351) 0.327 (#364)
Shooting & Four Factors DSU MORG
FG% 37.2% 39.7%
3PT% 30.0% 28.0%
REB / G 30.0 31.5
OREB / G 9.4 11.2
AST / TO 0.72 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 41.5% 44.4%
TOV% 19.9% 19.1%
ORB% 25.4% 30.5%
FT Rate 18.6% 29.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 58.1%
Opp TOV% 21.1% 17.0%
DRB% 67.9% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 39.8%

Game Analysis

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