Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +163 UTM -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -2.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -3.4 (+8.4) | 150.2 (+4.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -1.9 (+6.9) | 148.3 (+6.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -3.1 (+8.1) | 146.3 (+8.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -3.2 (+8.2) | 148.1 (+6.9) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIN 75 – 74 UTM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTM 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIN 52 – 51 UTM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIN 82 – 81 UTM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UTM 106 – 82 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#343) | -5.2 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#345) | -0.55 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#341) | -0.90 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#343) | 0.472 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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