We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Dartmouth Big Green
53 – 72
FINAL Conference
Yale Bulldogs
Ivy League · Leede Arena · February 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread YALE -8.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money DART +350 / YALE -400
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual YALE +19 125 Lost
Massey YALE -10.6 (-8.4) — —
Massey Totals — 136.7 (-11.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YALE -10.5 (-8.5) 141.7 (-16.7) 18% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YALE -9.9 (-9.1) 139.4 (-14.4) 19% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YALE -9.6 (-9.4) 141.1 (-16.1) 18% ✓
Baseline ML YALE -9.8 (-9.2) 142.5 (-17.5) 19% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 YALE 83 – 70 DART
Jan 31, 2026 YALE 83 – 68 DART
Feb 28, 2025 YALE 72 – 67 DART
Jan 20, 2025 YALE 83 – 67 DART
Mar 2, 2024 YALE 80 – 56 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART YALE
Overall 10-18 21-9
Conference 6-8 10-4
Home 7-5 10-1
Away 3-11 8-7
Neutral 0-2 3-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak W1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.9 73.8
Avg Pts Against 74.4 64.3
Massey -6.0 (#277) 8.1 (#67)
Bradley-Terry -1.25 (#291) 0.86 (#97)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.97 (#314) 1.27 (#89)
RPI 0.446 (#278) 0.549 (#91)
Shooting & Four Factors DART YALE
FG% 42.4% 46.4%
3PT% 31.9% 34.3%
REB / G 34.1 37.0
OREB / G 8.4 10.2
AST / TO 0.81 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 52.6%
TOV% 20.0% 17.4%
ORB% 23.6% 30.1%
FT Rate 19.3% 18.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 47.2%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 18.7%
DRB% 74.0% 76.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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