Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -150 CCSU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -3.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -3.2 (+9.8) | 135.8 (+7.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -2.9 (+10.1) | 137.0 (+6.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -2.7 (+10.3) | 139.2 (+3.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -2.4 (+10.6) | 138.5 (+4.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CCSU 108 – 106 SHU |
| Nov 22, 2024 | SHU 67 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CCSU 68 – 67 SHU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CCSU 77 – 70 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#327) | -9.4 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#300) | -2.47 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#303) | -2.80 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#295) | 0.398 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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