Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SHU +125 CCSU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +13 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -1.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.8 (+12.2) | 137.9 (-16.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -0.9 (+13.9) | 136.0 (-15.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -0.3 (+13.3) | 138.5 (-17.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -0.3 (+13.3) | 139.6 (-18.6) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CCSU 108 – 106 SHU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CCSU 68 – 67 SHU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CCSU 77 – 70 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | SHU 78 – 65 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#288) | 1.2 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#346) | 0.71 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.46 (#351) | 1.05 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#335) | 0.652 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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