Betting Lines
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +2 | 214 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -14.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+77.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -9.4 (-7.4) | 140.7 (+73.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -9.9 (-7.9) | 134.1 (+79.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -11.5 (-9.5) | 133.5 (+80.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -11.1 (-9.1) | 133.7 (+80.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2024 | SHU 67 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CCSU 68 – 67 SHU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CCSU 77 – 70 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | SHU 78 – 65 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#156) | -7.5 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#112) | -1.54 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#140) | -2.30 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#90) | 0.389 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 59.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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