Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -110 CCSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -0.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.1 (-1.1) | 143.7 (-8.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.3 (-1.3) | 142.9 (-7.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -0.2 (-0.8) | 141.3 (-6.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -0.1 (-0.9) | 142.8 (-7.8) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CCSU 108 – 106 SHU |
| Nov 22, 2024 | SHU 67 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CCSU 77 – 70 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | SHU 78 – 65 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#295) | -4.2 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#302) | -0.56 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#309) | -0.88 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#287) | 0.486 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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