Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -188 SHU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -7.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -5.1 (+1.9) | 141.8 (+5.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -5.3 (+1.7) | 142.9 (+4.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -5.4 (+1.6) | 141.2 (+5.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -5.1 (+1.9) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CCSU 108 – 106 SHU |
| Nov 22, 2024 | SHU 67 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CCSU 68 – 67 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | SHU 78 – 65 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#233) | -7.4 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#230) | -1.51 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#241) | -1.95 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#221) | 0.425 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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