Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -250 UNH +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +24 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -6.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -5.2 (+18.8) | 150.1 (-34.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -4.5 (+19.5) | 148.1 (-32.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -4.8 (+19.2) | 149.5 (-33.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.6 (+19.4) | 150.7 (-34.7) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#197) | -4.5 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#152) | -0.75 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#190) | -1.07 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#137) | 0.473 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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