Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SAC -333 IDHO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SAC -7.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -5.7 (-11.7) | 139.6 (+18.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -5.7 (-11.7) | 136.0 (+22.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -5.9 (-11.9) | 140.2 (+17.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -5.7 (-11.7) | 139.8 (+18.2) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDHO 68 – 45 SAC |
| Feb 22, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 76 SAC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | IDHO 78 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#210) | -6.0 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#192) | -1.71 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#193) | -1.96 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#208) | 0.376 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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