Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ISU +100 KU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +15 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -1.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -1.9 (+13.1) | 139.2 (-18.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -2.5 (+12.5) | 135.2 (-14.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -2.0 (+13.0) | 138.8 (-17.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -1.3 (+13.7) | 138.5 (-17.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#17) | 15.9 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#17) | 3.46 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#17) | 4.07 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#23) | 0.662 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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