Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UML -1000 NJIT +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +29 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UML -13.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -11.3 (+17.7) | 146.0 (+5.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -11.0 (+18.0) | 143.7 (+7.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -11.0 (+18.0) | 144.7 (+6.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -11.5 (+17.5) | 144.9 (+6.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | NJIT 81 – 56 UML |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NJIT 73 – 64 UML |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NJIT 83 – 62 UML |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UML 70 – 62 NJIT |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NJIT 71 – 64 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 4-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 5-8 |
| Away | 9-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | -8.5 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#154) | -1.92 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#148) | -2.13 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.411 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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