Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -1400 COLU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +22 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -20.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -16.6 (+5.4) | 146.7 (+7.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -17.0 (+5.0) | 147.5 (+6.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -14.6 (+7.4) | 146.7 (+7.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -16.0 (+6.0) | 148.0 (+6.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COLU 75 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 68 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PRIN 71 – 67 COLU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRIN 84 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#98) | -11.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#127) | -1.94 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#110) | -2.45 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#108) | 0.407 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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