I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · February 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money WKU -175 / UTEP +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +5 143 Won
Massey WKU -3.5 (+1.5) — —
Massey Totals — 132.7 (+10.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WKU -2.9 (+2.1) 137.4 (+5.6) 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -2.3 (+2.7) 137.4 (+5.6) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -2.4 (+2.6) 136.7 (+6.3) 63% ✓
Baseline ML WKU -2.0 (+3.0) 136.8 (+6.2) 62% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WKU 97 – 65 UTEP
Jan 10, 2026 WKU 68 – 56 UTEP
Feb 28, 2025 WKU 80 – 73 UTEP
Jan 31, 2025 WKU 78 – 74 UTEP
Mar 17, 2024 WKU 78 – 71 UTEP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU UTEP
Overall 17-16 14-18
Conference 8-12 7-13
Home 9-5 11-7
Away 5-9 3-10
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 66.9
Avg Pts Against 71.6 69.4
Massey -0.6 (#179) -0.6 (#178)
Bradley-Terry 0.04 (#168) 0.03 (#169)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.22 (#189) -0.08 (#178)
RPI 0.500 (#177) 0.501 (#175)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU UTEP
FG% 43.4% 44.3%
3PT% 35.3% 26.1%
REB / G 33.6 35.4
OREB / G 8.7 11.1
AST / TO 1.18 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 48.3%
TOV% 16.0% 22.7%
ORB% 24.8% 31.9%
FT Rate 22.9% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 22.9%
DRB% 69.2% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 26.8%

Game Analysis

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