Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +130 TNST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | TNST -0.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -1.1 (-2.9) | 148.1 (-22.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -1.3 (-2.7) | 145.9 (-19.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -0.5 (-3.5) | 145.8 (-19.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -0.6 (-3.4) | 148.9 (-22.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNST 77 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EIU 74 – 70 TNST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TNST 66 – 49 EIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TNST 84 – 65 EIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | TNST 78 – 73 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#344) | -7.8 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#347) | -1.56 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#347) | -2.13 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#350) | 0.413 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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