Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -154 COR +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -2.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -3.0 (+4.0) | 155.3 (+15.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -2.7 (+4.3) | 154.6 (+16.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.1 (+3.9) | 160.0 (+11.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -2.8 (+4.2) | 157.8 (+13.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#98) | 5.4 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#127) | 0.85 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#110) | 1.15 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#108) | 0.549 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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