Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -138 PFW +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +33 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -2.2 (+30.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -0.9 (+32.1) | 152.0 (-15.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -1.0 (+32.0) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -1.2 (+31.8) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -0.6 (+32.4) | 152.9 (-15.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PFW 83 – 76 DETM |
| Dec 14, 2025 | PFW 81 – 77 DETM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PFW 90 – 67 DETM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | DETM 79 – 78 PFW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 – 69 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#217) | -0.9 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#267) | 0.06 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#235) | -0.02 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#269) | 0.511 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.