Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +280 PFW -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +1 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -5.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -5.0 (+6.0) | 148.4 (+8.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -6.1 (+7.1) | 147.7 (+9.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -3.4 (+4.4) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -4.9 (+5.9) | 148.6 (+8.4) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PFW 83 – 76 DETM |
| Dec 14, 2025 | PFW 81 – 77 DETM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PFW 90 – 67 DETM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 – 69 DETM |
| Dec 31, 2023 | PFW 91 – 56 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#267) | 5.3 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#206) | 0.97 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#248) | 1.24 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#148) | 0.556 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.