Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -275 WIN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -10.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -8.2 (-5.2) | 135.7 (-0.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -6.7 (-3.7) | 134.5 (+0.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.7 (-4.7) | 136.6 (-1.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -7.2 (-4.2) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | WIN 80 – 78 RAD |
| Jan 21, 2026 | WIN 76 – 75 RAD |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WIN 78 – 74 RAD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RAD 87 – 67 WIN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WIN 85 – 69 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#141) | -5.0 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#174) | -0.85 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | -1.13 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#148) | 0.464 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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