Betting Lines
| Spread | CHST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HART +275 CHST -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +13 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -9.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -8.2 (-4.8) | 136.3 (-25.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHST -7.6 (-5.4) | 136.4 (-25.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -8.3 (-4.7) | 138.5 (-27.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -8.2 (-4.8) | 136.6 (-25.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2023 | CHST 75 – 53 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-23 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-0 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -19.2 (#362) | -5.8 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#360) | -1.23 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.64 (#359) | -1.57 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#361) | 0.443 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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