Betting Lines
| Spread | CHST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CHST -1000 HART +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +22 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CHST -17.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -11.5 (+10.5) | 131.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHST -12.2 (+9.8) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -13.6 (+8.4) | 134.6 (-6.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -11.6 (+10.4) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | CHST 62 – 49 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 5-23 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Home | 8-0 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-20 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#281) | -19.9 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#297) | -3.64 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#305) | -4.20 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#296) | 0.353 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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