Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -450 EVAN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -9.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -6.9 (+2.1) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -7.8 (+1.2) | 142.9 (-11.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.8 (+1.2) | 142.5 (-11.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -7.3 (+1.7) | 142.2 (-11.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UIC 84 – 46 EVAN |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UIC 76 – 49 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UIC 82 – 77 EVAN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UIC 78 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UIC 88 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 1-19 |
| Home | 7-8 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#289) | -12.9 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#283) | -1.94 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#281) | -2.49 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#298) | 0.411 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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