I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · February 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread IUIN -3.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money IUIN -175 / GB +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual IUIN +15 121 Won
Massey IUIN -5.2 (+9.8) — —
Massey Totals — 134.6 (-13.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 46% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✗
Baseline Plus ML IUIN -3.5 (+11.5) 133.8 (-12.8) 57% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IUIN -3.5 (+11.5) 131.7 (-10.7) 68% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IUIN -3.2 (+11.8) 134.8 (-13.8) 63% ✓
Baseline ML IUIN -3.8 (+11.2) 137.6 (-16.6) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 GB 75 – 59 IUIN
Dec 11, 2025 GB 85 – 75 IUIN
Jan 23, 2025 IUIN 86 – 77 GB
Dec 4, 2024 IUIN 84 – 75 GB
Feb 1, 2024 GB 79 – 56 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN GB
Overall 5-27 3-29
Conference 2-18 2-18
Home 4-9 2-10
Away 0-15 1-17
Neutral 1-3 0-2
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L2 L7
Avg Pts For 65.2 59.3
Avg Pts Against 78.6 76.5
Massey -16.8 (#360) -18.4 (#361)
Bradley-Terry -3.83 (#362) -3.02 (#359)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.39 (#362) -3.65 (#360)
RPI 0.342 (#363) 0.362 (#356)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN GB
FG% 44.0% 40.5%
3PT% 29.1% 28.9%
REB / G 30.8 27.3
OREB / G 8.9 7.0
AST / TO 0.67 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 46.4%
TOV% 23.4% 22.7%
ORB% 27.3% 21.6%
FT Rate 21.5% 23.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.2%
DRB% 68.9% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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