Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | UTA +350 SHSU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -12.1 (+24.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -11.2 (+23.2) | 129.9 (-1.9) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -9.7 (+21.7) | 127.6 (+0.4) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -11.2 (+23.2) | 132.7 (-4.7) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -10.3 (+22.3) | 133.7 (-5.7) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2023 | SHSU 66 – 56 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#280) | 9.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#285) | 1.75 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#278) | 1.91 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#288) | 0.593 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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