Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -800 UTA +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -17.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -13.3 (-3.3) | 129.2 (-7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -13.4 (-3.4) | 126.0 (-4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -12.7 (-2.7) | 131.2 (-9.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -13.8 (-3.8) | 130.8 (-8.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2023 | UTA 70 – 58 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#61) | -4.8 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#57) | -0.79 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#73) | -0.92 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#46) | 0.461 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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