Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Quinnipiac Bobcats
66 – 51
FINAL Conference
Fairfield Stags
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -4.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money QUIN -188 / FAIR +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +15 117 Won
Massey QUIN -10.1 (+4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 134.6 (-17.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -8.5 (+6.5) 137.0 (-20.0) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -8.0 (+7.0) 136.2 (-19.2) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -8.0 (+7.0) 135.7 (-18.7) 81% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -8.3 (+6.7) 135.8 (-18.8) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN
Feb 1, 2026 QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR
Mar 9, 2025 FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN
Feb 1, 2025 QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR
Feb 24, 2024 FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN FAIR
Overall 20-12 13-18
Conference 11-9 9-11
Home 9-4 7-6
Away 9-6 4-10
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 64.2
Avg Pts Against 69.8 66.7
Massey 2.9 (#119) -3.6 (#235)
Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#118) -0.79 (#257)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.87 (#112) -1.08 (#262)
RPI 0.530 (#122) 0.472 (#239)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN FAIR
FG% 43.3% 39.9%
3PT% 35.1% 28.0%
REB / G 39.2 34.0
OREB / G 12.0 10.3
AST / TO 1.01 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 45.3%
TOV% 18.6% 17.9%
ORB% 33.6% 29.4%
FT Rate 23.0% 28.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 18.5%
DRB% 74.0% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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