Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -1000 FAIR +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -13.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -11.2 (+0.8) | 141.1 (+8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -10.3 (+1.7) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -12.9 (-0.9) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -11.7 (+0.3) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | QUIN 66 – 64 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#179) | -11.7 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#162) | -1.29 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#165) | -2.13 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#87) | 0.437 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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