And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Quinnipiac Bobcats
81 85
FINAL Conference
Fairfield Stags
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money QUIN -154 / FAIR +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual FAIR +4 166 Lost
Massey QUIN -2.3 (-6.3)
Massey Totals 154.9 (+11.1)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 74%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -3.1 (-7.1) 151.6 (+14.4) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -1.8 (-5.8) 151.5 (+14.5) 62%
Baseline ML QUIN -2.0 (-6.0) 154.8 (+11.2) 63%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -1.2 (-5.2) 153.8 (+12.2) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FAIR 8579 QUIN
Feb 1, 2026 QUIN 7265 FAIR
Mar 9, 2025 FAIR 8374 QUIN
Feb 1, 2025 QUIN 8169 FAIR
Jan 28, 2024 QUIN 6664 FAIR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN FAIR
Overall 24-10 24-13
Conference 15-5 14-6
Home 13-3 10-4
Away 10-5 10-6
Neutral 1-2 4-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 75.1
Avg Pts Against 71.9 71.7
Massey -1.6 (#186) -0.6 (#171)
Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#139) -0.20 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.03 (#165) -0.33 (#197)
RPI 0.532 (#120) 0.507 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN FAIR
FG% 44.0% 45.0%
3PT% 33.8% 37.3%
REB / G 36.6 32.8
OREB / G 10.8 9.7
AST / TO 1.10 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 52.6%
TOV% 17.0% 16.3%
ORB% 30.8% 28.1%
FT Rate 25.0% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 20.2%
DRB% 72.2% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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