See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Quinnipiac Bobcats
81 – 85
FINAL Conference
Fairfield Stags
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money QUIN -154 / FAIR +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual FAIR +4 166 Lost
Massey QUIN -2.3 (-6.3) — —
Massey Totals — 154.9 (+11.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -1.2 (-5.2) 153.8 (+12.2) 62% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -3.1 (-7.1) 151.6 (+14.4) 64% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -1.8 (-5.8) 151.5 (+14.5) 62% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -2.0 (-6.0) 154.8 (+11.2) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN
Feb 1, 2026 QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR
Mar 9, 2025 FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN
Feb 1, 2025 QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR
Jan 28, 2024 QUIN 66 – 64 FAIR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN FAIR
Overall 24-10 24-13
Conference 15-5 14-6
Home 13-3 10-4
Away 10-5 10-6
Neutral 1-2 4-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 75.1
Avg Pts Against 71.9 71.7
Massey -1.6 (#186) -0.6 (#171)
Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#139) -0.20 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.03 (#165) -0.33 (#197)
RPI 0.532 (#120) 0.507 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN FAIR
FG% 44.0% 45.0%
3PT% 33.8% 37.3%
REB / G 36.6 32.8
OREB / G 10.8 9.7
AST / TO 1.10 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 52.6%
TOV% 17.0% 16.3%
ORB% 30.8% 28.1%
FT Rate 25.0% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 20.2%
DRB% 72.2% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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