Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR +120 QUIN -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +7 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -0.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -0.4 (-7.4) | 147.7 (-10.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -0.8 (-6.2) | 147.1 (-10.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -0.1 (-7.1) | 145.5 (-8.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -0.1 (-6.9) | 146.6 (-9.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | QUIN 66 – 64 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#254) | -2.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#213) | -0.02 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#233) | 0.08 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#177) | 0.522 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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