Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | FAIR +110 QUIN -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -6.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -5.3 (+14.3) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -5.0 (+14.0) | 141.5 (+15.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -4.3 (+13.3) | 141.4 (+15.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -5.4 (+14.4) | 142.3 (+14.7) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | QUIN 66 – 64 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#335) | -2.2 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#292) | -0.01 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#312) | -0.06 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#288) | 0.538 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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