Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR -133 QUIN +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | FAIR -4.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -2.9 (-4.9) | 153.3 (-23.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -2.0 (-4.0) | 151.1 (-21.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -2.6 (-4.6) | 149.5 (-19.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -2.5 (-4.5) | 152.3 (-22.3) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#169) | -1.3 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#178) | 0.62 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#186) | 0.41 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#167) | 0.522 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.