Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -333 BOIS +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +20 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -2.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -3.9 (+16.1) | 137.3 (-13.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -3.3 (+16.7) | 133.8 (-9.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -3.5 (+16.5) | 136.5 (-12.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -3.8 (+16.2) | 137.5 (-13.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#29) | 12.7 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#26) | 2.14 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#28) | 2.86 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#14) | 0.596 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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