Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | APSU +175 QUC -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -4.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -4.3 (+3.3) | 143.6 (-4.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -5.0 (+4.0) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -4.7 (+3.7) | 143.6 (-4.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -5.0 (+4.0) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 90 – 83 APSU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | APSU 95 – 87 QUC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | APSU 92 – 78 QUC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | QUC 67 – 60 APSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | APSU 79 – 76 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#325) | -1.4 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#311) | 0.15 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#318) | -0.09 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#297) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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