Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -280 APSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +14 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -7.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -5.5 (-19.5) | 148.0 (+22.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -5.9 (-19.9) | 148.0 (+22.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -5.3 (-19.3) | 146.9 (+23.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -5.7 (-19.7) | 146.9 (+23.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 90 – 83 APSU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | APSU 95 – 87 QUC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | QUC 67 – 60 APSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | APSU 79 – 76 QUC |
| Feb 4, 2023 | QUC 70 – 69 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#215) | -7.6 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#187) | -1.01 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#203) | -1.36 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#193) | 0.462 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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