Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | APSU -148 QUC +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +7 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | APSU -2.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -1.1 (-8.1) | 155.5 (+17.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -1.3 (-8.3) | 154.0 (+19.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -1.6 (-8.6) | 153.6 (+19.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -1.5 (-8.5) | 155.2 (+17.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | APSU 95 – 87 QUC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | APSU 92 – 78 QUC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | QUC 67 – 60 APSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | APSU 79 – 76 QUC |
| Feb 4, 2023 | QUC 70 – 69 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#166) | -2.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#130) | -0.24 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#151) | -0.41 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#90) | 0.519 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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