Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -148 APSU +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +8 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | APSU -0.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -1.4 (-9.4) | 155.6 (+26.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -0.7 (-7.3) | 152.8 (+29.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -0.3 (-7.7) | 156.6 (+25.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -0.1 (-7.9) | 156.8 (+25.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 90 – 83 APSU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | APSU 92 – 78 QUC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | QUC 67 – 60 APSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | APSU 79 – 76 QUC |
| Feb 4, 2023 | QUC 70 – 69 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#211) | 1.1 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#216) | 0.50 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#217) | 0.39 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#206) | 0.536 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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