Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | APSU +105 QUC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +7 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -0.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -0.7 (-6.3) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.8 (-5.2) | 140.5 (-13.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -0.5 (-6.5) | 143.2 (-16.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -0.6 (-6.4) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 90 – 83 APSU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | APSU 95 – 87 QUC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | APSU 92 – 78 QUC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | APSU 79 – 76 QUC |
| Feb 4, 2023 | QUC 70 – 69 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#301) | -3.9 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#271) | 0.19 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#279) | -0.26 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#266) | 0.502 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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