Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -333 MVSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MVSU +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -10.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -7.7 (-11.7) | 139.4 (+20.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -9.0 (-13.0) | 136.6 (+23.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -8.7 (-12.7) | 138.7 (+21.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -8.6 (-12.6) | 138.0 (+22.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | JKST 66 – 62 MVSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JKST 92 – 44 MVSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | JKST 68 – 67 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-14 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#326) | -16.3 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#307) | -3.00 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#337) | -3.47 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#322) | 0.362 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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