Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | USI -138 MORE +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -6.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -2.8 (-7.8) | 141.5 (-4.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -3.3 (-8.3) | 141.8 (-4.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -3.5 (-8.5) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -3.7 (-8.7) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORE 64 – 63 USI |
| Dec 20, 2025 | MORE 64 – 60 USI |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MORE 66 – 65 USI |
| Jan 1, 2025 | MORE 70 – 68 USI |
| Feb 21, 2024 | USI 80 – 73 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#237) | -6.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#250) | -0.31 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#249) | -0.72 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#241) | 0.489 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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