Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +188 SIE -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -6.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -6.4 (+11.4) | 136.9 (+0.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -6.1 (+11.1) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -6.6 (+11.6) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -6.2 (+11.2) | 138.8 (-1.8) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#309) | 1.4 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#313) | 0.38 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#325) | 0.43 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#302) | 0.521 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.