What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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91–33 on winners spread MAE 8.2 124 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Princeton @ Columbia -9.3 135.6 18% 68–49 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Cornell +7.1 155.0 78% 69–88 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +18.0 132.1 89% 81–77 ✗
Harvard @ Brown +0.3 130.0 48% 70–68 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Siena +9.8 133.7 84% 60–70 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Rider +0.4 142.2 52% 72–63 ✗
Iona @ Marist -11.9 139.9 16% 84–57 ✓
Canisius @ Manhattan -1.8 148.6 40% 64–57 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +0.4 126.5 53% 77–69 ✗
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +5.6 139.6 67% 64–63 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +0.9 153.5 57% 85–90 ✓
Akron @ Ball State +4.7 139.2 70% 63–70 ✓
Stanford @ California -4.9 131.3 31% 70–92 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +12.8 150.9 86% 64–81 ✓
Creighton @ UConn +9.6 144.2 83% 60–69 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma State +2.1 143.0 63% 56–46 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Missouri +9.6 155.1 81% 82–85 ✓
St. John's @ Providence +10.5 156.2 84% 80–83 ✓
Nebraska @ Minnesota -4.3 130.7 36% 81–79 ✓
Davidson @ VCU +4.7 138.9 74% 72–89 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo +6.2 151.5 77% 62–80 ✓
Kentucky @ Alabama +8.7 157.2 81% 52–78 ✓
Duke @ Boston College -10.1 134.7 18% 65–64 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Florida State -1.4 144.7 44% 64–75 ✗
Georgia @ Florida +5.9 139.3 74% 75–82 ✓
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson +13.6 154.9 87% 89–101 ✓
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +6.6 145.2 73% 74–70 ✗
Wisconsin @ Illinois +4.6 135.5 69% 69–79 ✓
Iowa State @ TCU +3.7 134.8 59% 69–67 ✗
Tulane @ Temple +0.7 149.3 56% 87–76 ✗
East Carolina @ Memphis +10.9 145.6 84% 59–69 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa -2.5 130.5 41% 57–69 ✗
UIC @ Indiana State +12.9 146.2 87% 60–80 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -1.6 137.1 38% 69–61 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +9.4 133.1 82% 67–71 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +17.1 160.2 90% 73–95 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +6.1 126.6 72% 54–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Fordham +5.5 147.4 75% 54–66 ✓
Rhode Island @ La Salle +0.0 142.4 49% 75–77 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ George Mason +10.6 138.3 83% 75–86 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Washington -0.6 147.7 46% 73–81 ✗
Radford @ Gardner-Webb +3.9 128.7 60% 63–59 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +0.2 145.2 49% 67–61 ✗
Campbell @ UNC Asheville +4.9 140.5 73% 55–58 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +13.0 149.5 87% 78–85 ✓
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan -1.6 147.3 43% 56–62 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Stonehill +4.4 138.4 65% 49–51 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +3.3 141.5 60% 61–73 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota -2.5 133.6 40% 60–59 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +21.5 146.9 91% 74–105 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina A&T -6.5 145.1 25% 66–61 ✓
Monmouth @ Drexel +17.6 131.3 89% 35–67 ✓
Hofstra @ William & Mary -5.0 139.7 32% 75–62 ✓
Hartford @ Sacred Heart +13.2 136.2 89% 71–78 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +4.2 139.9 69% 53–59 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +18.9 131.8 89% 66–88 ✓
Wake Forest @ Louisville -9.6 145.3 16% 80–72 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +4.9 139.0 73% 58–60 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Stephen F. Austin +0.5 138.0 53% 68–73 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Arlington -2.5 135.7 35% 76–61 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -0.7 148.8 50% 57–76 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Merrimack +1.8 123.5 56% 53–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe -8.5 136.0 18% 65–60 ✓
Texas State @ South Alabama +3.9 130.2 70% 64–58 ✗
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern +1.1 130.5 58% 81–75 ✗
Denver @ Western Illinois +1.3 147.6 59% 74–91 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Morehead State +4.9 136.6 63% 59–69 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +14.0 129.8 88% 77–82 ✓
Tennessee @ South Carolina -16.9 131.0 12% 85–42 ✓
Kent State @ Miami (OH) -13.8 143.5 12% 69–66 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +14.6 149.9 86% 66–81 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Morgan State +0.1 148.1 49% 73–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1.1 140.0 41% 66–70 ✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State +6.9 164.8 82% 73–85 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +4.0 145.4 66% 75–74 ✗
Western Kentucky @ UTSA -1.6 147.5 43% 74–64 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +5.1 143.2 75% 46–57 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis +5.5 142.8 73% 55–78 ✓
Nevada @ San José State +0.4 136.6 54% 67–40 ✗
Winthrop @ Longwood +12.2 148.2 86% 71–85 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State -2.6 144.2 38% 70–56 ✓
Samford @ UNC Greensboro +4.0 135.0 65% 70–68 ✗
Mercer @ Western Carolina +0.7 141.4 56% 45–73 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +5.5 137.5 62% 68–63 ✗
Northeastern @ Hampton -3.2 142.7 30% 79–63 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -6.6 129.8 24% 62–57 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -4.6 142.6 33% 69–54 ✓
San Diego State @ Wyoming -8.4 139.3 19% 80–75 ✓
Xavier @ Villanova -1.6 152.0 42% 88–80 ✓
Delaware State @ Howard +7.4 135.5 77% 64–84 ✓
Lamar @ SE Louisiana +13.5 147.2 87% 84–89 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State +2.9 146.0 62% 48–68 ✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +0.8 144.4 48% 82–80 ✗
Fresno State @ Colorado State +4.9 131.3 73% 57–79 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin +5.3 147.9 68% 84–80 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock -2.2 154.8 43% 74–68 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood +0.8 147.4 49% 60–57 ✗
Washington State @ Arizona +13.2 152.2 83% 74–61 ✗
Syracuse @ Virginia +12.0 134.1 85% 66–73 ✓
Delaware @ Charleston +13.7 150.3 87% 64–75 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alcorn State +4.4 141.5 61% 76–89 ✓
Missouri State @ Belmont +0.6 139.1 55% 61–74 ✓
Ohio @ Bowling Green -0.9 149.9 52% 79–88 ✗
Arkansas State @ Troy +12.1 133.9 86% 54–66 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho +0.9 152.4 54% 74–58 ✗
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +3.0 144.6 66% 75–78 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville +4.8 132.7 73% 44–51 ✓
Houston Christian @ LSU New Orleans +5.0 154.4 75% 59–82 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -8.3 146.1 21% 80–71 ✓
Tarleton State @ Sam Houston +12.7 136.6 86% 68–75 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +6.7 147.1 78% 62–86 ✓
Kansas @ West Virginia +1.8 147.0 59% 76–62 ✗
Kansas State @ Baylor +3.5 151.8 67% 97–95 ✗
Alabama State @ Jackson State +3.8 144.2 66% 58–61 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +3.3 151.1 63% 75–68 ✗
Murray State @ Drake +5.4 134.9 69% 64–82 ✓
North Texas @ Middle Tennessee -2.2 126.9 34% 56–51 ✓
Dartmouth @ Brown +6.5 130.0 74% 70–77 ✓
LSU @ Texas A&M +2.9 139.3 67% 56–69 ✓
Duquesne @ Richmond +2.2 139.8 63% 73–75 ✓
Florida A&M @ Southern +13.7 140.1 89% 66–84 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +14.9 137.8 89% 70–76 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +1.5 141.0 57% 59–82 ✓
Towson @ Stony Brook -3.6 130.9 34% 67–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.