Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
50–25 on winners spread MAE 8.4 75 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Ohio State +5.3 142.2 75% 71–69 ✗
SMU @ Houston +23.4 133.5 91% 53–87 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +8.4 140.1 80% 72–64 ✗
Lafayette @ Boston University +4.8 131.4 63% 69–73 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland -2.8 139.7 36% 78–55 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross -6.6 131.0 22% 73–68 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -2.5 134.9 41% 50–68 ✗
Bryant @ Vermont +3.2 150.9 67% 64–74 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +9.5 144.9 84% 83–92 ✓
Navy @ Colgate +6.6 150.6 78% 73–87 ✓
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +6.2 151.3 74% 86–88 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida International -8.3 137.6 24% 60–62 ✗
Wagner @ Stonehill +1.8 135.4 59% 58–62 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack -0.2 131.0 38% 59–55 ✓
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut +11.8 145.9 88% 59–78 ✓
Texas State @ James Madison +15.3 143.8 86% 63–62 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +6.4 135.8 75% 71–78 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -5.9 137.3 28% 76–81 ✗
Omaha @ Western Illinois +4.5 147.6 71% 78–74 ✗
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +10.0 146.1 84% 72–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +7.4 145.8 75% 56–78 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +18.6 137.7 91% 69–79 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +4.0 137.1 66% 68–64 ✗
Drexel @ Towson +2.4 132.2 55% 58–64 ✓
Hofstra @ Hampton -8.6 151.7 18% 67–51 ✓
Stony Brook @ Monmouth -3.6 134.0 24% 67–56 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary +1.8 135.6 56% 66–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida +0.6 144.6 53% 86–89 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +18.0 136.5 89% 41–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson +0.6 132.2 54% 61–73 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.0 154.9 38% 66–64 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Sam Houston +10.0 132.9 81% 72–68 ✗
Georgia State @ UL Monroe -0.5 132.0 52% 58–66 ✗
Washington State @ Arizona State +4.9 136.9 70% 71–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UTSA -8.2 147.6 24% 72–75 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Rice +3.8 155.4 66% 88–82 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington -7.7 136.4 26% 72–64 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +0.1 155.4 55% 65–68 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana -2.9 148.3 38% 61–75 ✗
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +8.9 133.4 77% 45–63 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State +0.3 138.4 49% 59–65 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota +0.9 144.0 53% 62–60 ✗
Denver @ St. Thomas +6.3 152.2 79% 71–81 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State -1.0 147.0 49% 80–84 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Colorado -2.5 146.4 40% 77–56 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -1.9 148.8 45% 74–75 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +3.9 144.9 66% 62–86 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay -6.7 142.5 32% 59–61 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -3.2 153.8 29% 77–75 ✓
Lamar @ LSU New Orleans +3.5 151.6 69% 55–81 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +14.0 157.2 88% 59–71 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese -4.7 137.8 33% 77–92 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +0.7 139.1 49% 49–70 ✓
Indiana @ Iowa +0.9 155.4 59% 89–91 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +0.1 136.9 41% 70–61 ✗
North Texas @ Western Kentucky -5.9 126.8 22% 70–66 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +4.0 146.2 67% 41–68 ✓
Nicholls @ East Texas A&M +0.8 149.2 51% 66–63 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +0.9 152.3 57% 82–87 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -1.7 147.1 44% 88–83 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +0.1 139.0 45% 85–83 ✗
Portland State @ Eastern Washington +4.9 153.7 74% 80–92 ✓
USC @ UCLA +13.8 143.0 86% 58–60 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +14.9 132.4 87% 60–79 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist -0.1 139.5 45% 58–72 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine +0.1 153.4 44% 89–79 ✗
Pacific @ San Diego +4.6 156.1 65% 84–82 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.1 123.8 58% 51–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge -2.5 143.8 39% 84–74 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego -5.4 130.9 26% 62–49 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside +5.2 137.8 70% 77–62 ✗
Washington @ Arizona +17.8 155.4 89% 67–70 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -3.7 155.8 32% 77–75 ✓
BYU @ Loyola Marymount +2.9 144.6 62% 59–64 ✓
Western Michigan @ Toledo +11.2 155.2 83% 74–102 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.