I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–18 on winners spread MAE 7.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Georgia Tech -3.1 149.0 43% 70–76 ✗
Duke @ NC State +0.9 144.5 60% 60–84 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +2.1 131.8 56% 63–60 ✗
Tulsa @ Tulane +11.3 150.6 85% 77–93 ✓
Temple @ South Florida +1.9 139.5 61% 68–64 ✗
UCF @ East Carolina -4.5 130.8 35% 64–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.3 137.5 37% 69–67 ✓
Penn State @ Michigan +2.6 147.2 65% 69–79 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida +7.4 143.6 76% 66–63 ✗
George Washington @ Richmond +6.9 143.2 76% 63–73 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne +2.7 137.6 61% 70–79 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +12.9 135.8 87% 56–76 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +5.1 137.9 73% 57–80 ✓
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure -0.2 134.3 44% 69–73 ✗
Fordham @ Rhode Island -0.4 137.1 44% 79–82 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +9.4 139.7 83% 65–60 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +4.9 138.7 67% 72–82 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +2.3 153.0 63% 76–72 ✗
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -6.9 149.5 24% 79–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell -2.0 131.4 44% 58–63 ✗
Wofford @ Mercer +2.6 143.4 64% 53–52 ✗
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +3.9 138.2 68% 71–60 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +1.1 138.4 56% 61–73 ✓
The Citadel @ Furman +9.6 148.3 83% 72–97 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -10.4 137.1 15% 81–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ Massachusetts +1.3 145.5 56% 81–90 ✓
New Mexico State @ Stephen F. Austin +1.3 150.0 59% 60–69 ✓
VMI @ Samford +10.7 143.4 84% 78–87 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +7.8 134.2 84% 68–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State -5.0 144.4 33% 76–67 ✓
Evansville @ Missouri State +13.1 133.7 85% 62–85 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +4.6 128.1 70% 49–53 ✓
Belmont @ UIC -2.0 143.5 41% 77–71 ✓
Bradley @ Murray State -5.6 132.0 29% 58–67 ✗
UConn @ Providence -4.1 149.0 44% 61–73 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +2.4 138.8 52% 66–80 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.4 143.4 86% 61–91 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +2.7 148.4 58% 67–62 ✗
Missouri @ Arkansas +7.7 156.6 75% 68–74 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern -1.5 135.0 41% 85–72 ✓
TCU @ Baylor +5.2 141.5 66% 88–87 ✗
Wake Forest @ North Carolina +10.1 157.0 83% 79–88 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia Tech +6.3 142.9 73% 68–65 ✗
DePaul @ Butler +12.1 139.8 86% 70–78 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern +2.7 132.4 70% 60–73 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M +1.2 144.3 59% 66–62 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +7.3 143.1 79% 69–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.0 142.1 41% 76–57 ✗
Maine @ UMass Lowell +11.1 143.9 87% 70–72 ✓
Maryland @ Rutgers +9.6 128.5 79% 50–64 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ App State +3.7 138.4 66% 62–63 ✓
Queens University @ Bellarmine -2.0 140.9 40% 75–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.