Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–27 on winners spread MAE 10.9 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -7.1 134.7 22% 67–60 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +5.3 141.0 71% 68–63 ✗
Oregon @ Utah +6.7 135.0 74% 70–60 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Columbia -5.0 141.0 29% 84–55 ✓
Harvard @ Yale +9.7 132.3 81% 54–58 ✓
UAB @ Florida International -9.0 160.5 24% 87–90 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian -1.4 153.1 48% 74–72 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +6.0 140.9 74% 57–77 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.2 150.1 86% 57–82 ✓
NC State @ Virginia Tech +2.4 144.6 61% 73–69 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Rio Grande Valley -7.1 154.7 21% 75–61 ✓
Pacific @ Pepperdine +6.0 156.2 72% 80–75 ✗
BYU @ San Diego -3.1 152.0 33% 68–48 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +8.9 140.2 81% 70–78 ✓
App State @ James Madison +14.2 144.8 87% 71–62 ✗
Omaha @ St. Thomas +6.8 152.6 77% 68–80 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +15.2 143.3 87% 71–74 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside +9.1 141.5 78% 45–68 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +7.3 137.0 75% 48–67 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado -1.8 151.4 41% 79–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Queens University +5.0 149.8 72% 76–67 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama -2.1 145.5 42% 95–85 ✓
Arkansas @ Auburn +0.7 137.4 56% 59–72 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall +0.6 134.5 54% 51–76 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southern Indiana -1.9 152.5 38% 69–62 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +4.6 138.3 68% 70–61 ✗
Portland @ Saint Mary's +14.9 138.7 86% 43–85 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +8.5 155.2 81% 70–87 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton +0.1 129.5 49% 72–79 ✓
Idaho State @ Weber State +5.6 138.4 68% 67–57 ✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville State +0.9 132.3 50% 75–62 ✗
UNLV @ New Mexico +6.7 150.2 75% 84–77 ✗
Oregon State @ Colorado +13.0 138.0 86% 42–62 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -0.9 155.9 46% 81–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount +4.7 145.7 66% 72–70 ✗
Northwestern @ Indiana +5.3 135.3 67% 84–83 ✗
Vermont @ New Hampshire -4.7 131.4 30% 60–67 ✗
Iowa @ Rutgers +8.2 142.1 78% 76–65 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland -1.8 142.5 45% 73–80 ✗
Bucknell @ Lafayette +1.6 132.6 60% 67–74 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +0.8 132.3 48% 70–66 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Holy Cross +4.0 131.1 64% 55–63 ✓
UMBC @ Bryant +4.3 158.2 68% 81–73 ✗
Oakland @ Wright State +5.0 153.4 70% 75–73 ✗
Liberty @ Eastern Kentucky -8.2 139.7 20% 59–62 ✗
SMU @ UCF +11.3 132.8 83% 53–85 ✓
Boston University @ American University +6.6 130.9 76% 74–76 ✓
NJIT @ Maine +5.9 137.5 70% 91–83 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +9.7 142.5 84% 78–73 ✗
Rider @ Siena +6.2 141.4 75% 63–68 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +0.9 134.1 45% 67–60 ✗
Iona @ Quinnipiac -3.3 147.4 41% 58–81 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist -2.9 131.8 36% 56–63 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan -5.1 132.6 32% 59–64 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +0.8 138.8 51% 76–78 ✓
Houston @ Cincinnati -10.3 132.0 16% 72–59 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany -9.8 143.4 19% 63–89 ✗
Washington @ Arizona State +7.5 139.2 75% 65–73 ✓
Purdue @ Penn State -1.1 137.8 51% 76–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.