Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UALB +400 UML -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +26 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UML -10.7 (+36.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -8.1 (+34.1) | 141.6 (+10.4) | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -8.5 (+34.5) | 140.7 (+11.3) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -10.2 (+36.2) | 143.3 (+8.7) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -9.8 (+35.8) | 143.4 (+8.6) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UML 81 – 76 UALB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UML 89 – 79 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UML 73 – 69 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 11-5 |
| Home | 5-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-16 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#340) | 4.0 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#331) | 1.41 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#340) | 1.89 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#300) | 0.541 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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