Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -333 UNF +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +25 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -13.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -10.7 (+14.3) | 149.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -10.3 (+14.7) | 148.9 (-9.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -10.8 (+14.2) | 149.4 (-10.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -11.2 (+13.8) | 150.1 (-11.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNF 76 – 70 FGCU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 81 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FGCU 86 – 82 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | FGCU 79 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#107) | -5.5 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#62) | -0.16 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#53) | -0.46 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#48) | 0.512 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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